Horse racing handicapping

Analize the human element for horse racing handicapping, specially when a horse is starting with a new trainer. It's a wise handicapping technique to look at the current trainer records compared to the previous, instead of just look at the horse speed. What rules should we understand about a newly claimed horse, and why a horse suddenly change his performance for a new trainer, when is the right time to bet on this horse?

When the new trainer of a horse has better records than the previous one, we could expect the horse will improve his performance, on the other hand, when the records of the previous trainer were better the horse is likely to go down on his performance. So it's better not to place a bet on a horse that went from a high- to a low-percentage barn.

Consider equipment and jockey changes - a horse coming from a low percentage stable will usually have a top jockey for his new barn, for a newly claimed horse having a leading rider would be a big improvement over his previous riders who might have a low win record.

Used to be considered negative if a horse returned below or at its last price but with nationally higher purses, a claimed horse can earn a sizable amount even if he is returned at the level he was purchased. Many trainers would still earn a profit from the purse winnings even if they risk possibly losing their newly claimed horse for the same or even a slightly lesser price.

That's why some trainers are willing to run their newly claimed horses at or below their claimed price - their horses are placed where they will most likely win, and if the horse wins, they will show a return on their investment, even if another trainer claims one of their horses, .

For a good analysis of a newly claimed horse we must take into account the new trainer as much as the horse . Horse racing handicapping experts analyse the horse and the trainer.